Super Bowl Sunday is finally here! Since the blog started, it has gone 2-5 on picks, which sounds far worse than it is. I went heavy on the Niners last week and it backfired, but now’s not the time to pout. It’s the time to end the season on top, in true Super Bowl fashion.
So, I am going to run through all of my picks for tonight’s big game. From locks on the spread and money-line to professional insights on the coin toss, you’re getting it all. But this Sunday is not meant for reading, so how about we get right into it!
MONEY-LINE – MY PICK: EAGLES -125
This Eagles team is complete on both sides of the ball and KC is looking thinner in a couple areas. Mahomes is the ultimate red herring, but my nose will not be fooled by his sidearm slings this time. I expect Hurts to lead Philly to their second title in six years, crushing Big Red’s dreams of beating his old team on the biggest stage.
SPREAD – MY PICK: EAGLES -1.5
As I said, Philly looks solid all around and the Chiefs do not. I believe Philly is marginally better on both sides of the ball and that the game will be close, but I don’t think it will be decided by one point.
OVER/UNDER 51 – MY PICK: UNDER
I said it in the blog two weeks ago and I’ll say it again: The over is dead. It hasn’t hit in the past seven NFL games and it won’t hit tonight. That’s also coming from a butthurt over bettor whose had a poor past few weeks, so maybe fade me on this one. Your choice.
ANYTIME TD SCORERS – MY PICKS: KELCE -115, HURTS -105
There’s no chance Kelce doesn’t cash a tuddy in the “Bowl of the Brothers”. There has been too much hype around the first Super Bowl where two brothers are facing each other, and Travis loves to rise to the occasion. As for Hurts, he’s ran in six scores in the past five games, and I expect him to cruise in for at least one more tonight.
NATIONAL ANTHEM – MY PICK: OVER
The lines for this bet are different on every site where they are available. FanDuel set the line at 119.5 seconds earlier this week, and based off of that I would hammer the over. Chris Stapleton doing the performance is a recipe for an instant classic. I think he’ll use a mix of his guitar and voice, drawing out the anthem past the 120 second mark. Also, since the over is dead for point totals, why not bet it here?
COIN TOSS – MY PICK: HEADS
Trust me on this one. “The house always wins” is thought of as the oldest saying in Vegas, but what many don’t know is that it’s second to “tails never fails”. When you combine the two phrases the TRUE meaning is revealed: Betting on tails never fails will make the house always win.
RIHANNA FIRST SONG – MY PICK: DISTURBIA +1400
I can just hear the “bum-bum-bee-dum-bum-bum-bee-dum-bum” echoing throughout State Farm stadium as Rihanna struts out. Some may call me a lunatic since it’s a song with some of the worst odds available, but I’m sticking to my gut on this one. I expect “Don’t stop the music” to blare near the end of the show, yet it has the highest odds. This one is a total shot in the dark, but I’m feeling “Disturbia”.
GATORADE SHOWER – MY PICK: YELLOW/GREEN +110
In an interview with Pardon My Take, Eagles offensive lineman Lane Johnson had this “interesting nugget” of information about their Gatorade color of choice:
Since I have Philly winning, I have to hop on the train. Yes, I could be falling for the largest trap in the history of sports betting. And yes, that would be the ultimate Philly player move to trick people into losing a fortune. But, if you bet on a color other than yellow/green after watching that clip, you are delusional.