THE LOCK OF THE NFL SEASON

NFL
Zach Wilson, New York Jets, Getty Images

Greetings, A2Z Sports reader. I had planned on covering day one of the Ryder Cup today, but after staying up til five in the morning watching one disappointing hole after another, I have burnt through my capacity to consume or produce golf content for the day. That being said, Monday’s article will be dedicated to recapping the Ryder Cup in all of its entirety (even if the US continues on this path of getting destroyed in every pairing). So, today I thought I’d give you the NFL lock of the year that will occur on Sunday.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -8.5 VS THE NEW YORK JETS

That’s right, the Chiefs are only favored by 8.5 points in Sunday’s matchup vs the Jets. Why this may be the case, I have no clue, but what I am 99.99% sure about is that Kansas City will win by at least two scores, three if Taylor Swift is in attendance.

I have done Mortal Locks in my weekly picks, and I am currently 5-2 on those, but this bet falls into a completely new category. I was unsure what to call a lock that is so certain, so I decided to research what the best lock in the world is and name my pick in its honor. 

There you have it. My Chiefs -8.5 pick against the Jets is A2Z Sports’ first ever ABUS Titalium Aluminum Alloy Padlock Lock of Your Lifetime (It’s a good thing that the name isn’t a mouthful). Now here’s why I think that this pick is an ABUS Titalium Aluminum Alloy Padlock Lock of Your Lifetime:

First off, the Jets are not all they’ve been hyped up to be, and the Chiefs are the Chiefs. Going into the season, the Jets’ defense was widely regarded as one of, if not THE best defense in the league, and for some reason, people still have faith that the defense will carry the team to a few wins. Yes, they do have a solid squad, and yes they did pull out a miraculous win against Josh Allen and the Bills, but throughout the first three games (including that win), the Jets have averaged 20 less plays than their opponents. This is not a sustainable model for the energy and efficiency of a defense, and against Patty Mahomes they’ll need to be playing at their best. In order to get rest between possessions to pressure Mahomes, the Jets’ D will need their offense to perform, which brings me to my next point.

Zach Wilson is absolutely terrible. There is no way to sugarcoat it, that’s just the truth. Throughout the first three games, he has only had 44 (!) completions for 467 yards, along with four INTs and just two TDs. To put that into perspective, in Andy Dalton’s first action as a Panther when Bryce Young was out with an injury last week, Dalton completed 34 passes for 361 yards, with a drastically worse receiving corps. With Chris Jones set to pressure Wilson all game on Sunday, I can’t imagine that the Jets will add to their touchdown total at all. I think that if the Chiefs are able to score two touchdowns, they’ll cover the spread comfortably.

Lastly, and this is no joke, Taylor Swift will make Travis Kelce play at his best. I believe that Travis got all of the nerves out of the way during last week’s matchup, meaning that this week he’ll play at his peak to show off for his newfound love. If I were including player props in my season-long betting tracker, I would immediately make Travis Kelce’s anytime TD a Mortal Lock. Use that information however you’d like to. 

In conclusion, I think that the Chiefs -8.5 line is the bet of the season so far, and if you don’t include it as a leg in all of your parlays this Sunday, you’re deranged. I am still studying for midterms, so even though this one was short, that does it for today. Let me know your thoughts in the comments, and Tweet us your bet slips @A2ZSportsTakes to show us that you’re in on the first ever ABUS Titalium Aluminum Alloy Padlock Lock of Your Lifetime!

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